Does the Catalan Crisis Have Any Influence on the Region's Trade with the Rest of Spain?

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Authors

COUFALOVÁ Lucie

Year of publication 2019
Type Article in Proceedings
Conference 41st International Scientific Conference on Economic and Social Development
MU Faculty or unit

Faculty of Economics and Administration

Citation
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Keywords Catalonia; conflict; gravity model; interregional trade.
Description The aim of this contribution is to determine whether the conflict in Catalonia in some way influences the region’s trade relations with the rest of Spain. Empirical analysis based on gravity model approach indicates that trade and intrastate conflict in Catalonia are related. Catalan exports to the rest of Spain are negatively associated with past values of conflict in the region. Testing for endogeneity shows that there is a reciprocal relationship between conflict and trade. Nevertheless, the 2SLS estimator shows very similar results to the Poisson’s as well as the FE estimators.
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